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Monday, 16 February 2009

Capitalism 3.0

Dani Rodrik on the power of capitalism to reinvent itself :

Coming soon - Capitalism 3.0, Dani Rodrik, Business Standard, Commentary :

Capitalism is in the throes of its most severe crisis in many decades. A combination of deep recession, global economic dislocations, and effective nationalization of large swathes of the financial sector in the world’s advanced economies has deeply unsettled the balance between markets and states. Where the new balance will be struck is anybody’s guess.

Those who predict capitalism’s demise have to contend with one important historical
fact: capitalism has an almost unlimited capacity to reinvent itself. Indeed, its malleability is the reason it has overcome periodic crises over the centuries and outlived critics from Karl Marx on. The real question is not whether capitalism can survive — it can — but whether world leaders will demonstrate the leadership needed to take it to its next phase as we emerge from our current predicament.

Capitalism has no equal when it comes to unleashing the collective economic energies of human societies. That is why all prosperous societies are capitalistic in the broad sense of the term: they are organized around private property and allow markets to play a large role in allocating resources and determining economic rewards. The catch is that neither property rights nor markets can function on their own. They require other social institutions to support them.

So property rights rely on courts and legal enforcement, and markets depend on regulators to rein in abuse and fix market failures. At the political level, capitalism requires compensation and transfer mechanisms to render its outcomes acceptable. As the current crisis has demonstrated yet again, capitalism needs stabilizing arrangements such as a lender of last resort and counter-cyclical fiscal policy. In other words, capitalism is not self-creating, self-sustaining, self-regulating, or self-stabilizing.

The history of capitalism has been a process of learning and re-learning these lessons. Adam Smith’s idealized market society required little more than a “night-watchman state.” All that governments needed to do to ensure the division of labour was to enforce property rights, keep the peace, and collect a few taxes to pay for a limited range of public goods.

Through the early part of the twentieth century, capitalism was governed by a narrow vision of the public institutions needed to uphold it. In practice, the state’s reach often went beyond this conception (as, say, in the case of Bismarck’s introduction of old-age pensions in Germany in 1889). But governments continued to see their economic roles in restricted terms.

This began to change as societies became more democratic and labour unions and other groups mobilized against capitalism’s perceived abuses. Anti-trust policies were spearheaded in the Unites States. The usefulness of activist monetary and fiscal
policies became widely accepted in the aftermath of the Great Depression.

The share of public spending in national income rose rapidly in today’s industrialized countries, from below 10 per cent on average at the end of the nineteenth century to more than 20 per cent just before World War II. And, in the wake of WWII, most countries erected elaborate social-welfare states in which the public sector expanded to more than 40 per cent of national income on average.

This “mixed-economy” model was the crowning achievement of the twentieth century. The new balance that it established between state and market set the stage for an unprecedented period of social cohesion, stability and prosperity in the advanced economies that lasted until the mid-1970s.

This model became frayed from the 1980s on, and now appears to have broken down. The reason can be expressed in one word: globalization.

The postwar mixed economy was built for and operated at the level of nation-states, and required keeping the international economy at bay. The Bretton Woods-GATT regime entailed a “shallow” form of international economic integration that implied controls on international capital flows, which Keynes and his contemporaries had viewed as crucial for domestic economic management. Countries were required to undertake only limited trade liberalization, with plenty of exceptions for socially sensitive sectors (agriculture, textiles, services).

This left them free to build their own versions of national capitalism, as long as they obeyed a few simple international rules.

The current crisis shows how far we have come from that model. Financial globalization, in particular, played havoc with the old rules. When Chinese-style capitalism met American-style capitalism, with few safety valves in place, it gave rise to an explosive mix. There were no protective mechanisms to prevent a global liquidity glut from developing, and then, in combination with US regulatory failings, from producing a spectacular housing boom and crash. Nor were there any international roadblocks to prevent the crisis from spreading from its epicentre.

The lesson is not that capitalism is dead. It is that we need to reinvent it for a new century in which the forces of economic globalization are much more powerful than before. Just as Smith’s minimal capitalism was transformed into Keynes’ mixed economy, we need to contemplate a transition from the national version of the mixed economy to its global counterpart.

This means imagining a better balance between markets and their supporting institutions at the global level. Sometimes, this will require extending institutions outward from nation states and strengthening global governance. At other times, it will mean preventing markets from expanding beyond the reach of institutions that must remain national. The right approach will differ across country groupings and among issue areas.

Designing the next capitalism will not be easy. But we do have history on our side: capitalism’s saving grace is that it is almost infinitely malleable.


  1. This model became frayed from the 1980s on, and now appears to have broken down. The reason can be expressed in one word: globalization.

    Would this also coincide with the abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, and the elections of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan in 1979 and 1980?

    Thatcher is famous for breaking the back of the unions, and Reagan did the same in the US.

    It was not globalisation that was to blame, but neoliberalism. Or if you wish, the corporate one world global economy. There is no reason globalisation should have only benefited corporations.

    Designing the next capitalism will not be easy. But we do have history on our side: capitalism’s saving grace is that it is almost infinitely malleable.

    I find it slighlty cowardly that the writer does not mention neoliberalism or supply side/voodoo/laissez faire capitalism, which is really what he is talking about and what has caused this crisis.

    There are already many forms of capitalism, and pretending free market capitalism is all there is, is incorrect.

    What is needed, is a form of economy where the state creates the common infrastructure that everyone uses, and where business in most sectors is free to do it's thing. Howevever, there have to be exceptions as well, such as the country's staple food, or strategic economic sectors and infant industries. The state should protect it's economy and producers against false competition, including dumping of heavily subsidized goods below the cost of production. The stat should also go out of it's way to benefit local producers, because that is what has the greatest impact on job creation and wealth retention in the economy.

    And most of all, the government must stop the expatriation of money from the mines, which should be put to work in the Zambian economy, specifically agriculture, infrastructure and manufacturing.


    As an economist, could you please write a review of Ha-Joon Chang's book "Bad Samaritans", because it addresses a lot of the hypocrisy and mythmaking surrounding neoliberal economics.

  2. MrK,

    The book is considered a "classic" by many now.

    I shall certainly do a post on it when I pick it up...asap

  3. The liberals say it was because we don't have strong unions, the conservatives say that it was because of high taxes.

    In reality, the most crisis was caused by a banking law from 1998 that allowed banks to resell loans. That led to a housing bubble which burst and caused banks around the world to collapse and damaged the world economy.

    Of course regulators should have recognized it earlier and stopped it.

    Also they should have regulated house hold credit more because Americans owe too much money.

    Also the American government should not borrow so much money from China. Anyone who looks at the American foreign debt and doesn't think it is a problem is an idiot. It's impossible to say how it will end except to say that it will end very badly...

    Anyway, it's silly to talk about Capitalism 3.0. People knew there was a problem with housing and they didn't do anything. People know today that borrowing unpayable amounts of money is bad, but they still do it. This is capitalism as it has always been and will always be.

    Capitalism 1.0 by Idiots.

    -Error 27

  4. Interesting article on business failure:

  5. And another on the Depression:

  6. Same Depression article above:;_ylt=AmicArGasW6UDePF1XRyymS7YWsA


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